| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 23 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 23 | 3 | 39 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 23 | 6 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 23 | 0 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Miami | 23 | -6 | 29 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 22 | -2 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 61.26% ( | 21.93% ( | 16.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52% ( | 48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.83% ( | 70.17% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.83% ( | 15.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.22% ( | 43.79% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.13% ( | 41.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.67% ( | 78.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 61.26% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.81% |