| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 27 | -3 | 34 |
| 6 | Toronto | 28 | -5 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Toronto | 28 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 27 | -10 | 30 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | -14 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 58.27% ( | 21.53% ( | 20.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.03% ( | 40.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.64% ( | 63.36% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( | 13.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.88% ( | 41.12% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( | 33.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.36% ( | 70.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.2% |