Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.