Major League Soccer

Aug 28, 2022 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
0 - 2
Montreal

Teran (22'), Torres (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kone (19'), Quioto (24')
Kone (34'), Wanyama (45+6'), Mihailovic (59'), Breza (62')
Kone (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 NY City
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Toronto	27	-7	30
7	Chicago Fire	26	-8	30
8	Houston Dynamo	26	-11	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	CF Montreal
41.21% ( 0.1)	26.86% ( 0.07)	31.94% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.58% (

-0.33)

54.42% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.21% (

-0.28)

75.79% (

0.28)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

-0.1)

26.01% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.96% (

-0.13)

61.04% (

0.14)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

-0.28)

31.61% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

-0.33)

68.01% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 41.21%

CF Montreal 31.94%

Draw 26.86%

Chicago Fire	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.21%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.94%