Major League Soccer

Sep 1, 2022 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 2
LA Galaxy

Jimenez (62'), Bernardeschi (81' pen.)
MacNaughton (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Costa (24'), Puig (89')
Grandsir (15'), Araujo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

Last Six:

Last Game: New England 1-2 LA Galaxy
Monday, August 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Real Salt Lake	27	-1	39
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	26	3	37
4	Portland Timbers	28	0	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
43.67% ( 0.01)	23.71% ( 0)	32.62% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.46% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.56% (

-0.02)

40.43% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.19% (

-0.02)

62.81% (

0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

-0)

18.82% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75% (

-0)

50.25% (

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

-0.02)

24.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34% (

-0.02)

58.66% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Toronto 43.67%

Los Angeles Galaxy 32.62%

Draw 23.71%

Toronto	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.44% Total : 43.67%	1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.62%