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Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 3am UK
The Home Depot Center
Vancouver Whitecaps
LA Galaxy
5 - 2
Vancouver
Grandsir (12', 40'), Hernandez (20' pen.), Vazquez (30'), Alvarez (89')
Coulibaly (59'), Araujo (63'), Edwards (71'), DePuy (90+4')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Gauld (38'), Ricketts (70')
Veselinovic (68'), Dajome (72')
Dajome (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps

Both sides have endured inconsistent spells of form in recent weeks so a tight affair could be on the cards this weekend. However, considering Vancouver's recent record against LA Galaxy and the latter's defensive frailties, we can see the visitors coming away with all three points in California. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawVancouver Whitecaps
59.56% (-0.282 -0.28) 21.73% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 18.71% (0.185 0.19)
Both teams to score 53.61% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.88% (-0.123 -0.12)44.12% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.5% (-0.118 -0.12)66.5% (0.11399999999999 0.11)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (-0.13 -0.13)14.43% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.63% (-0.25 -0.25)42.36% (0.245 0.24)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (0.132 0.13)37.35% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.86% (0.132 0.13)74.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 59.54%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 18.71%
    Draw 21.73%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawVancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 59.54%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.73%
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.61% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 18.71%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Vancouver

Los Angeles Galaxy
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2021 1am
Jul 18, 2021 3am
Jun 24, 2021 3.30am
Vancouver
1-2
LA Galaxy
Bikel (90+2')
Godoy (23')
Alvarez (90+3')
DePuy (78')
Nov 8, 2020 11.30pm
Vancouver
3-0
LA Galaxy
Cavallini (24'), Montero (43', 90+1')

Kitchen (52')
Araujo (41')
Oct 19, 2020 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-0
Vancouver
Koreniuk (90')
Kitchen (45+1'), Miguel Harvey Cesneros (90+2')

Teibert (89')
rhs 2.0
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