| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 26 | -2 | 34 |
| 6 | Toronto | 27 | -7 | 30 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 26 | -8 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Toronto |
| 47.38% ( | 24.31% ( | 28.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( | 45.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( | 67.73% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( | 19.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49% ( | 51% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% | 29.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( | 65.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.14% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.31% |