Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.