| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 46 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 30 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Minnesota United | 29 | 1 | 44 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 0 | 42 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 3 | 39 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 29 | 0 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 49.19% ( | 23.12% ( | 27.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.63% ( | 40.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.25% ( | 62.74% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( | 16.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( | 46.46% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( | 27.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( | 62.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 49.19% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.69% |