Major League Soccer

Sep 4, 2022 at 2.29am UK

Nissan Stadium

Nashville
3 - 0
Austin

Zimmerman (49'), Williams (82', 90+1')
Williams (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fagundez (39'), Cascante (54'), Lima (75'), Djitte (90+4')
Djitte (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Austin FC
56.1% ( 0.35)	23.1% ( -0.15)	20.8% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9% (

0.34)

47.1% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66% (

0.32)

69.34% (

-0.33)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.4% (

0.25)

16.6% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.59% (

0.45)

46.41% (

-0.45)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.13% (

-0.02)

36.87% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.35% (

-0.02)

73.65% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 56.1%

Austin FC 20.8%

Draw 23.09%

Nashville SC	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 56.1%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.8%