Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.