| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 27 | 22 | 51 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 44 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 3 | 37 |
| 4 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 57.5% ( | 21.42% ( | 21.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.75% ( | 39.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.42% ( | 61.58% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( | 13.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.54% ( | 40.46% ( |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( | 32.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( | 68.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 5-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.5% Total : 57.5% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 21.08% |