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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2022 at 1am UK
Austin FC Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Austin
4 - 1
Los Angeles

Fagundez (32'), Urruti (47', 51'), Driussi (59')
Urruti (39'), Fagundez (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arango (61')
Segura (30'), Crepeau (40'), Murillo (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Austin
Sunday, August 21 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, August 21 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawLos Angeles FC
37.96% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)23.07% (-0.209 -0.21)38.97% (1.205 1.21)
Both teams to score 65.09% (0.83699999999999 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.82% (1.082 1.08)36.18% (-1.077 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.71% (1.175 1.18)58.29% (-1.171 -1.17)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)19.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)51.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (1.029 1.03)19.09% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3% (1.675 1.68)50.7% (-1.67 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 37.96%
    Los Angeles FC 38.97%
    Draw 23.06%
Austin FCDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 37.96%
1-1 @ 10.08% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.082 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.097 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.198 0.2)
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.12 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.14 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.114 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 38.97%

How you voted: Austin vs Los Angeles

Austin FC
31.5%
Draw
16.7%
Los Angeles FC
51.9%
54
Head to Head
May 19, 2022 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-2
Austin
Vela (86' pen.)
Acosta (39'), Cifuentes (39'), Murillo (63')
Gabrielsen (13'), Fagundez (80')
Valencia (37'), Wolff (50'), Stuver (85'), Driussi (89'), Keller (90+7')
Sep 16, 2021 2am
Austin
1-2
Los Angeles
Fagundez (67')
Stroud (35'), Cascante (64')
Arango (59' pen.), Musovski (81')
Crisostomo (29'), Musovski (79')
Jul 8, 2021 2am
Austin
0-2
Los Angeles

Pereira (3'), Cascante (36'), Kolmanic (45+2')
Cifuentes (39'), Rossi (89')
Farfan (70'), Murillo (85')
Apr 17, 2021 11pm
Los Angeles
2-0
Austin
Baird (61'), Cifuentes (90+1')