Major League Soccer

Sep 18, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Dallas

Ebobisse (25' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Obrian (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Dallas
50.37% ( -0.22)	23.14% ( 0.02)	26.48% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 59.36% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.57% (

0.08)

41.43% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.17% (

0.08)

63.82% (

-0.07)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

-0.05)

16.59% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61% (

-0.09)

46.39% (

0.09)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16% (

0.19)

28.84% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3% (

0.23)

64.7% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 50.37%

Dallas 26.48%

Draw 23.14%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 50.37%	1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.14%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 26.48%