Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
61.76% ( 0.02) | 20.63% ( -0.02) | 17.61% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.06% ( 0.08) | 40.95% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.66% ( 0.08) | 63.34% ( -0.07) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.25% ( 0.03) | 12.75% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.99% ( 0.06) | 39.01% ( -0.06) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.3% ( 0.04) | 36.7% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.51% ( 0.04) | 73.49% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.81% 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.76% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |