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Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Los Angeles
3 - 1
Houston

Vela (8' pen., 45+4' pen.), Hollingshead (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baird (24')
Dorsey (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Wednesday, September 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 3-1 New England
Wednesday, September 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 Houston Dynamo

LA have more wins at home than any side in MLS this season, while Orange Crush have the third-fewest road victories in the Western Conference. Besides that, Houston do not have the individual quality to handle LAFC over 90 minutes, so expect them to hang back and try to make the score respectable, while we anticipate the Black and Gold will find a breakthrough eventually. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
73.52% (0.46299999999999 0.46) 15.76% (-0.288 -0.29) 10.71% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.72% (0.462 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (0.899 0.9)33.58% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (1.016 1.02)55.39% (-1.018 -1.02)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.15% (0.312 0.31)7.84% (-0.313 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.19% (0.78999999999999 0.79)27.8% (-0.791 -0.79)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29% (0.306 0.31)41.7% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82% (0.267 0.27)78.18% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 73.52%
    Houston Dynamo 10.71%
    Draw 15.76%
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-0 @ 10.59% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 7.86% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 5.72% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 5.01% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.91% (0.089 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.55% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.07 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.24% (0.056 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.08% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 73.52%
1-1 @ 7.28% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.76%
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 2.86% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 10.71%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Houston

Los Angeles FC
81.5%
Draw
3.7%
Houston Dynamo
14.8%
27
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 1.30am
Jun 20, 2021 4am
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
Oct 29, 2020 2.30am
Los Angeles
2-1
Houston
Rossi (9'), Segura (22')
Segura (32'), Cifuentes (84'), Blessing (85')
Lassiter (46')
Vera (33'), Quintero (72'), Garcia (90')
Vera (59')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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