Major League Soccer
Los Angeles
Sep 19, 2022 3.30am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Houston
  • Carlos Vela 8' goal
  • Carlos Vela 45'+4' goal
  • Ryan Hollingshead 52' goal
  • goal Corey Baird 24'

Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 1.00am
Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 Los Angeles
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Cristian Arango

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 1.30am
Houston 3 - 1 New England
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Sebastian Ferreira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result

Los Angeles FC 73.52% ▲ (+0.47)
Draw 15.76% ▼ (-0.29)
Houston Dynamo 10.71% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.72% ▲ (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.41% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 2.5 33.58% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 3.5 44.6% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 3.5 55.39% ▼ (-1.02)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 92.15% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 0.5 7.84% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 1.5 72.19% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 1.5 27.8% ▼ (-0.80)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 58.29% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 0.5 41.7% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 21.82% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 78.18% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Los Angeles FC 73.52%
Draw 15.76%
Houston Dynamo 10.71%
Los Angeles FC
2-0 @ 10.59% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.09)
5-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.07)
6-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.06)
5-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.06)
6-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 73.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-96.70)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.76%
Houston Dynamo
1-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 10.71%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Houston
Sep 1, 2022 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Los Angeles
  • Sebastian Ferreira 13' goal
  • Griffin Dorsey 75' goal
  • Darwin Ceren 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Steve Clark 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Darwin Ceren 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Ilie Sanchez 11'
  • goal Cristian Arango 19'
  • yellowcard Kellyn Acosta 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Los Angeles
Jun 20, 2021 4.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Houston
  • Jose Cifuentes 50' goal
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 17'
  • yellowcard Matias Vera 30'
  • goal Maximiliano Urruti 58'
  • yellowcard Fabrice Picault 71'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 4
Houston
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Stadium
Los Angeles
  • Tyler Pasher 57' goal
  • yellowcard Jesus Murillo 29'
  • goal Corey Baird 55'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Los Angeles
Oct 29, 2020 2.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
Houston
  • Diego Rossi 9' goal
  • Eddie Segura 22' goal
  • Eddie Segura 32' yellowcard
  • Jose Cifuentes 84' yellowcard
  • Latif Blessing 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Vera 33'
  • goal Ariel Lassiter 46'
  • redcard Matias Vera 59'
  • yellowcard Darwin Quintero 72'
  • yellowcard Boniek Garcia 90'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 42
Houston
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Los Angeles
Major League Soccer
Los Angeles
Jul 14, 2020 1.00am
3
3
HT : 1 5
FT ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
Houston
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 19' goal
  • Tristan Blackmon 52' yellowcard
  • Diego Rossi 63' goal
  • Paul Brian Rodriguez Bravo 69' goal
  • Brian Rodriguez 69' goal
  • goal Jose Guillermo Rodriguez 9'
  • goal Memo Rodriguez 9'
  • goal Jose Guillermo Rodriguez 30'
  • goal Memo Rodriguez 30'
  • yellowcard Matias Vera 46'
  • goal Alberth Elis 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Boniek Garcia 67'

Form Data

Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 Los Angeles
Dallas 2 - 1 Los Angeles
Los Angeles 2 - 0 Salt Lake
Houston 2 - 1 Los Angeles
Austin 4 - 1 Los Angeles
Earthquakes 2 - 1 Los Angeles
Houston 3 - 1 New England
Houston 0 - 0 Kansas
Seattle 2 - 1 Houston
Houston 2 - 1 Los Angeles
Minnesota Utd 2 - 1 Houston
Colorado 1 - 1 Houston