Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.