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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Los Angeles FC

Portland
1 - 2
Los Angeles

Asprilla (81')
Paredes (48'), Zuparic (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vela (51'), Bouanga (90+5')
Segura (57'), Blessing (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Houston
Monday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Los Angeles FC

Given the calibre of finishers on each side, we could see at least a few goals in this one, and just as Banc of California Stadium has been a fortress for LA, the same can be said about Providence Park for the Timbers. Home-field advantage, along with the desperation of needing a result to potentially clinch a playoff spot, should give the Timbers a slight edge over their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles FC
34.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.5%42.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 62.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.03% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)38.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)56.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.85% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)50.14% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 34.08%
    Los Angeles FC 42.41%
    Draw 23.5%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.94%
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 2.07%
2-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 42.41%

How you voted: Portland vs Los Angeles

Portland Timbers
36.8%
Draw
36.8%
Los Angeles FC
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2022 3am
Los Angeles
1-1
Portland
Fall (90+3')
Hollingshead (25'), Sanchez (78')
Chara (18')
Bravo (36'), Asprilla (39'), van Rankin (45+3'), Fochive (65'), Savarese (74'), Chara (90+2')
Bravo (62')
Sep 30, 2021 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-2
Portland
Musovski (55')
Palacios (29'), Arango (90+9')
Chara (45'), Asprilla (59')
Paredes (25'), Asprilla (45+2'), Valeri (76')
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
Portland
2-1
Los Angeles
Asprilla (21'), Fochive (68')
Mabiala (24'), Blanco (26'), Bravo (42'), Valeri (83')
Arango (27' pen.)
Jul 22, 2021 3.30am
Nov 8, 2020 11.30pm
Los Angeles
1-1
Portland
Vela (5')
Blessing (27'), Torres (63')
Villafana (90')
Valeri (31'), Asprilla (81'), Mabiala (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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