Major League Soccer

Oct 2, 2022 at 8pm UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
1 - 2
Los Angeles

Asprilla (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vela (51'), Bouanga (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Houston
Monday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Los Angeles FC
34.08% ( -0)	23.5%	42.4% ( -0)

Both teams to score 62.75% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.03% (

-0.01)

38.96% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.71% (

-0.01)

61.28% (

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.23% (

-0.01)

22.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.54% (

-0.01)

56.45% (

0.01)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.24% (

-0)

18.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.85% (

-0)

50.14% (

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 34.08%

Los Angeles FC 42.41%

Draw 23.5%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.08%	1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 8.85% 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.94% 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.51% Total : 42.41%