Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.