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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 3am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Minnesota United

Portland
1 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Asprilla (61')
Bravo (43'), McGraw (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 4 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer

Minnesota United

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-3 Dallas
Saturday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Minnesota United

 The status of Reynoso will be a major storyline heading into this encounter, but whether he plays or not, we would still back Portland to win this match, given the momentum they have heading into this weekend along with their ability to consistently elevate their play at the most opportune of moments. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawMinnesota United
54.64% (0.158 0.16) 22.59% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 22.77% (-0.17 -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.246 -0.25)42.52% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.245 -0.25)64.93% (0.245 0.25)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)15.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (-0.061 -0.06)44.38% (0.061 0.06)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.285 -0.28)32.43% (0.285 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-0.324 -0.32)68.96% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 54.64%
    Minnesota United 22.77%
    Draw 22.59%
Portland TimbersDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.74% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.66% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 22.77%

How you voted: Portland vs Minnesota Utd

Portland Timbers
70.6%
Draw
23.5%
Minnesota United
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 8pm
Minnesota Utd
4-4
Portland
Fragapane (9'), Hlongwane (21'), Amarilla (41', 69')
Boxall (53'), Arriaga (72'), Benitez (75'), Reynoso (90'), Lod (90+3')
Blanco (1', 50'), Niezgoda (53'), Lawrence (65' og.)
Chara (18'), Chara (63'), Ayala (73'), Asprilla (83')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30pm
Portland
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Mabiala (43'), Blanco (47', 66')
Blanco (19'), Mabiala (86')
Fragapane (11')
Trapp (32'), Gasper (40'), Boxall (73'), Fragapane (85'), Rosales (86'), Dibassy (90+7')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Portland
Gasper (74'), Lod (85')
Lod (90+4')
Mora (10')
Jun 27, 2021 4.30am
Portland
0-1
Minnesota Utd

Bravo (15'), Chara (70')
Hunou (2')
Dotson (74'), Reynoso (85')
May 24, 2020 1am
Minnesota Utd
P-P
Portland
rhs 2.0
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