Major League Soccer

Sep 4, 2022 at 10.30pm UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
2 - 1
Atlanta

Moreno (38' pen.), Asprilla (82' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Toronto	29	-5	34
9	Atlanta United	28	-3	33
10	Chicago Fire	29	-10	32

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Atlanta United
49.35% ( -0.12)	23.2% ( -0.02)	27.45% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 60.04% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.09% (

0.2)

40.91% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.7% (

0.2)

63.3% (

-0.2)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23% (

0.03)

16.77% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.29% (

0.05)

46.71% (

-0.05)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14% (

0.2)

27.86% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.53% (

0.26)

63.47% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 49.35%

Atlanta United 27.45%

Draw 23.2%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.35%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.45%