Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2022 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Santiago Moreno 38' goal
  • Dairon Asprilla 82' goal
  • goal Josef Martinez 88'

Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 3.51am
Austin 1 - 2 Portland
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Jaroslaw Niezgoda

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 12.00am
Philadelphia 4 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Josef Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result

Portland Timbers 49.35% (-0.12)
Draw 23.2% (-0.03)
Atlanta United 27.45% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.04% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.09% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 40.91% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 36.7% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 63.3% (-0.21)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 83.23% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 16.77% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 53.29% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 46.71% (-0.06)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 72.14% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 27.86% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 36.53% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 63.47% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Portland Timbers 49.35%
Draw 23.2%
Atlanta United 27.45%
Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 49.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.2%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 6.81% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 27.45%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Apr 19, 2020 11.30pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 32
Aug 19, 2019 3.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Providence Park (Portland, Oregon)
  • Jorge Moreira 42' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Gonzalez 14'
  • yellowcard Jeff Larentowicz 24'
  • yellowcard Florentin Pogba 33'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Barco 45'
  • goal Josef Martinez 46'
MLS Playoffs
Dec 9, 2018 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
  • Josef Martinez 39' goal
  • Franco Escobar 54' goal
  • Chris McCann 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Chara 80'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
Jun 24, 2018 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
  • Franco Escobar 32' yellowcard
  • Julian Gressel 56' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Chara 24'
  • goal Larrys Mabiala 32'
  • yellowcard Larrys Mabiala 44'
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2017 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Liam Ridgewell 50' goal
  • David Guzman 54' yellowcard
  • Vytautas Andriuskevicius 73' yellowcard
  • Roy Miller 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Parkhurst 28'
  • yellowcard Carlos Carmona 36'
  • goal Julian Gressel 46'