LA Galaxy
MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
The Home Depot Center
Nashville

LA Galaxy
1 - 0
Nashville

Araujo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Last Game: Houston 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Nashville SC

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 54.87%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNashville SC
54.87% (0.044999999999995 0.04)22.53% (-0.012 -0.01)22.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.43% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.83% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.019999999999996 0.02)15.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)44.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)32.53% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)69.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 54.87%
    Nashville SC 22.6%
    Draw 22.52%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNashville SC
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 54.87%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 22.6%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
38.5%
Draw
15.4%
TBC
46.2%
13
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 8.30pm
Nashville
1-1
LA Galaxy
Williams (29' pen.)
Puig (90+9' pen.)
Coulibaly (22')
Apr 24, 2022 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-0
Nashville
Joveljic (86')
Joveljic (87'), Hernandez (89')
Sep 27, 2020 1am
Nashville
P-P
LA Galaxy
Jul 2, 2020 3.30am
LA Galaxy
P-P
Nashville