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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Minnesota United

Dallas
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-1 Dallas
Monday, October 24 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
59.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.4% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)47.29% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.073 0.07)69.52% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.015999999999991 0.02)15.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.58% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44% (0.089000000000006 0.09)39.56% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (0.081 0.08)76.24% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 59.24%
    Minnesota United 18.4%
    Draw 22.36%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.4%

How you voted: Dallas vs Minnesota Utd

Dallas
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Minnesota United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 2.30am
First Round
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Dallas win 5-4 on penalties
Quignon (64')
Arriola (72')
Reynoso (53')
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
0-3
Dallas

Fragapane (20'), Arriaga (80')
Fragapane (69')
Boxall (55' og.), Velasco (56'), Ferreira (58')
Arriola (4'), Farfan (15')
May 23, 2022 12am
Dallas
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Arriola (59')
Twumasi (40')
Lod (20'), Taylor (55')
Boxall (31'), Arriaga (33'), Fragapane (33'), Reynoso (78'), St Clair (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 1am
Jun 20, 2021 1.30am
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Pepi (68')
Pepi (84'), Jara (89')
Fragapane (36')
Dibassy (2'), Gasper (67'), Boxall (89')