We said: Minnesota United 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Despite their recent form, we expect Minnesota United to just about get over the line and make the playoffs, although it will be with a draw.
Vancouver Whitecaps have not won away from home since June, and it will be too much of an ask for them to end this run in such a crucial game.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.