Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 3.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryan Gauld 7' goal
  • Lucas Cavallini 62' goal

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 3.00am
Vancouver 2 - 1 Seattle
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Lucas Cavallini

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 2.00am
Austin 1 - 1 Nashville
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Sebastian Driussi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result

Vancouver Whitecaps 42.78% (+0.10)
Draw 25.36% (-0.03)
Austin FC 31.86% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.38% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.75% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 48.24% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 29.6% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 70.39% (-0.09)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5 77.52% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 22.48% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 43.97% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 56.03% (-0.13)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.44% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.55% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.34% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 42.78%
Draw 25.35%
Austin FC 31.86%
Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.56% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.35%
Austin FC
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 31.86%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 24, 2022 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Maximiliano Urruti 11' goal
  • Maximiliano Urruti 26' goal
  • Alexander Ring 35' yellowcard
  • Ruben Gabrielsen 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 68' goal
  • Daniel Pereira 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tristan Blackmon 25'
  • yellowcard Lucas Cavallini 75'
  • yellowcard Brian White 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
Sep 5, 2021 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Erik Godoy 70' goal
  • Deiber Caicedo 83' goal
  • Deiber Caicedo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Fagundez 7'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 45'
  • yellowcard Frederik Kleemann 79'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Aug 19, 2021 2.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alexander Ring 37' goal
  • Hector Jimenez 55' yellowcard
  • Matt Besler 63' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Nerwinski 52'
  • yellowcard Cristian Dajome 62'
  • goal Brian White 74'