Major League Soccer

Oct 2, 2022 at 3am UK

Empire Field

Vancouver
2 - 0
Austin

Gauld (7'), Cavallini (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, September 18 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Austin FC
42.78% ( 0.09)	25.36% ( -0.03)	31.86% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.75% (

0.09)

48.24% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.6% (

0.09)

70.39% (

-0.09)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52% (

0.08)

22.48% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.97% (

0.13)

56.03% (

-0.13)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

0.01)

28.55% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

0.01)

64.34% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 42.78%

Austin FC 31.86%

Draw 25.35%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.78%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.86%