Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.