Major League Soccer

Oct 2, 2022 at 3am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Salinas (52'), Kikanovic (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, September 25 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Minnesota United
47% ( 0)	22.65% ( 0)	30.35% ( -0)

Both teams to score 64.21% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.66% (

-0.01)

36.34% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.54% (

-0.01)

58.46% (

0.01)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09% (

-0)

15.91% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.85% (

-0.01)

45.15% (

0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

-0.01)

23.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

-0.01)

57.74% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 47%

Minnesota United 30.36%

Draw 22.65%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.82% Total : 47%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 7.19% 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.36%