Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.