FC Dallas
MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 2.30am UK
Pizza Hut Park
Minnesota United

Dallas
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Quignon (64')
FT
(aet)
Reynoso (53')
Dallas win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's MLS Playoffs clash between Dallas and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Vancouver
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.88%).

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
57.46% (0.689 0.69)22.71% (-0.13 -0.13)19.83% (-0.558 -0.56)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-0.464 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (-0.178 -0.18)46.71% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (-0.167 -0.17)68.97% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (0.173 0.17)15.99% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (0.316 0.32)45.31% (-0.316 -0.32)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (-0.681 -0.68)37.64% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (-0.672 -0.67)74.42% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 57.45%
    Minnesota United 19.83%
    Draw 22.71%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 57.45%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 19.83%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
72.4%
Draw
17.2%
TBC
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
0-3
Dallas

Fragapane (20'), Arriaga (80')
Fragapane (69')
Boxall (55' og.), Velasco (56'), Ferreira (58')
Arriola (4'), Farfan (15')
May 23, 2022 12am
Dallas
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Arriola (59')
Twumasi (40')
Lod (20'), Taylor (55')
Boxall (31'), Arriaga (33'), Fragapane (33'), Reynoso (78'), St Clair (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 1am
Jun 20, 2021 1.30am
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Pepi (68')
Pepi (84'), Jara (89')
Fragapane (36')
Dibassy (2'), Gasper (67'), Boxall (89')
May 16, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
1-0
Dallas
Lod (90+4')
Trapp (67')

Ricaurte (10'), Jara (60')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!