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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
St Louis City

Salt Lake
0 - 4
St Louis City

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gioacchini (47'), Klauss (61', 66'), Alm (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Austin
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawSt Louis City
67.74% (0.019999999999996 0.02)18.06% (-0.012 -0.01)14.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.35% (0.046999999999997 0.05)35.64% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.29% (0.052 0.05)57.71% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.35% (0.01700000000001 0.02)9.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.79% (0.040999999999997 0.04)32.21% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)37.66% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (0.019000000000002 0.02)74.44% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 67.74%
    St Louis City 14.19%
    Draw 18.06%
Real Salt LakeDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 67.74%
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.06%
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 3.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs St Louis City

Real Salt Lake
33.3%
Draw
9.5%
St Louis City
57.1%
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