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St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Citypark
Charlotte FC

St Louis City
3 - 1
Charlotte FC

Tuiloma (41' og.), Lowen (45+5' pen.), Klauss (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Copetti (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Saint Louis City and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Austin 2-3 Saint Louis City
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 New England
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 88.37%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for Saint Louis City had a probability of 3.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 0-4 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.78%), while for a Saint Louis City win it was 2-1 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Saint Louis City would win this match.

Result
Saint Louis CityDrawCharlotte FC
3.54% (0.0819 0.08)8.08% (0.0589 0.06)88.37% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 44.36% (0.595 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.35% (0.217 0.22)23.65% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.86% (0.29 0.29)43.14% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Saint Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.89% (0.61 0.61)54.11% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.66% (0.372 0.37)87.34% (-0.373 -0.37)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.65% (0.010000000000005 0.01)3.35% (-0.0111 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)14.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Saint Louis City 3.54%
    Charlotte FC 88.36%
    Draw 8.09%
Saint Louis CityDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 1.16% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 3.54%
1-1 @ 3.78% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.97% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 8.09%
0-3 @ 11.83% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 10.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-4 @ 10.04% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 7.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-5 @ 6.83% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 6.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-5 @ 4.19% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-6 @ 3.86% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-6 @ 2.37% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.055 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.9% (0.049 0.05)
0-7 @ 1.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.29% (0.035 0.04)
1-7 @ 1.15% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 88.36%

How you voted: Saint Louis City vs Charlotte FC

Saint Louis City
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Charlotte FC
38.5%
26