Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.