Major League Soccer

Sep 17, 2022 at 6pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
2 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Callens (1'), Rodriguez (23')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 New England
Saturday, September 10 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	CF Montreal	31	11	56
3	New York Red Bulls	31	8	50
4	Columbus Crew	30	5	41

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
53.35% ( -3.78)	23.71% ( 1.08)	22.94% ( 2.7)

Both teams to score 53.61% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.75% (

-1.44)

47.25% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.52% (

-1.35)

69.48% (

1.35)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

-1.85)

17.65% (

1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74% (

-3.31)

48.26% (

3.32)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

1.8)

34.9% (

-1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.36% (

1.85)

71.64% (

-1.85)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 53.35%

New York Red Bulls 22.94%

Draw 23.7%

New York City FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.61) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.72) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.35%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.94%