Major League Soccer

Aug 28, 2022 at 12am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
3 - 1
Inter Miami

Morgan (43'), Edelman (53'), Clark (74')
Duncan (36'), Long (42'), Tolkin (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Higuain (19')
Mota (34')
Pozuelo (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, August 20 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	CF Montreal	26	8	46
3	New York Red Bulls	27	6	41
4	Columbus Crew	25	5	35

Inter Miami

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, August 21 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	New York Red Bulls	27	6	41
5	Inter Miami	26	-4	36
6	Orlando City	26	-7	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Inter Miami
58.15% ( 0.14)	23.93% ( 0)	17.92% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 45.54% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.83% (

-0.22)

54.16% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.42% (

-0.19)

75.58% (

0.18)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56% (

-0.03)

18.43% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.39% (

-0.05)

49.6% (

0.05)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.83% (

-0.32)

44.16% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.74% (

-0.26)

80.25% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 58.14%

Inter Miami 17.92%

Draw 23.93%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.14%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.92%