Major League Soccer

Sep 10, 2022 at 11pm UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
New England

Casseres Jr (58'), Morgan (77' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

McNamara (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 4 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	CF Montreal	30	10	53
3	New York Red Bulls	30	7	47
4	Columbus Crew	29	6	41

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	New England Revolution
49.69% ( 0.19)	24.55% ( 0.02)	25.76% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.76% (

-0.26)

48.24% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.61% (

-0.24)

70.39% (

0.25)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56% (

-0.03)

19.45% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.71% (

-0.04)

51.29% (

0.05)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

-0.31)

33% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41% (

-0.35)

69.59% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 49.69%

New England Revolution 25.76%

Draw 24.55%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	New England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.69%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.76%