Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
We said: CF Montreal 1-0 New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls have largely been on the receiving end in the previous editions of this fixture and while we anticipate a close game this time around, we fancy CF Montreal to just about come out on top at the sound of the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result |
CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.02% ( 0.07) | 24.99% ( -0.02) | 24.99% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.87% ( 0.01) |
49.34% ( 0.03) | 50.65% ( -0.03) |
27.44% ( 0.03) | 72.56% ( -0.03) |
79.73% ( 0.04) | 20.26% ( -0.04) |