Major League Soccer

Sep 4, 2022 at 12am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
0 - 2
Philadelphia

Yearwood (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Uhre (48'), Gazdag (75')
Glesnes (8'), Burke (32'), Elliott (36'), Gazdag (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: Montreal 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	CF Montreal	28	9	49
3	New York Red Bulls	29	9	47
4	Columbus Crew	27	6	39

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	29	40	57
2	CF Montreal	28	9	49
3	New York Red Bulls	29	9	47

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Philadelphia Union
43.64% ( 1.36)	26.85% ( -0.57)	29.5% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.75% (

1.81)

55.25% (

-1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52% (

1.47)

76.48% (

-1.47)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87% (

1.53)

25.13% (

-1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.16% (

2.07)

59.83% (

-2.07)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21% (

0.36)

33.79% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55% (

0.39)

70.45% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 43.64%

Philadelphia Union 29.5%

Draw 26.85%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.64%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.5%