Major League Soccer

Sep 18, 2022 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
2 - 3
Charlotte FC

Pineda (3'), Duran (30')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Swiderski (68', 90+6'), Santos (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Montreal 3-2 Chicago Fire
Wednesday, September 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	New England Revolution	31	-3	38
6	Chicago Fire	31	-9	35
7	Toronto	31	-8	34

Charlotte FC

Last Six:

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 NY City
Saturday, September 10 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings

PTS

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Charlotte FC
57.76% ( -0.1)	22.95% ( 0.04)	19.29% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.54% (

-0.08)

48.47% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.41% (

-0.08)

70.6% (

0.08)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.5% (

-0.06)

16.51% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.76% (

-0.12)

46.25% (

0.13)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77% (

0.02)

39.24% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06% (

0.02)

75.95% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 57.74%

Charlotte FC 19.29%

Draw 22.94%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 57.74%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.94%	0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.29%