Major League Soccer

Sep 11, 2022 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
3 - 1
Inter Miami

Duran (40', 87'), Shaqiri (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Higuain (77' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Toronto	30	-6	34
7	Chicago Fire	29	-10	32
8	Sporting Kansas City	29	-14	30

Inter Miami

Last Six:

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	New England Revolution	29	0	38
9	Inter Miami	28	-7	36
10	Toronto	30	-6	34

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Inter Miami
51.99% ( -0.31)	25.49% ( 0.06)	22.52% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 47.75% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24% (

-0)

54.76% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

-0)

76.07% (

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.91% (

-0.13)

21.09% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.09% (

-0.21)

53.91% (

0.21)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.51% (

0.24)

39.49% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.82% (

0.22)

76.18% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 51.98%

Inter Miami 22.52%

Draw 25.49%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.98%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.52%