Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.