| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 9 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 28 | -3 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Toronto | 29 | -5 | 34 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 28 | -10 | 31 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | -11 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 54.82% ( | 22.75% ( | 22.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( | 43.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( | 66.05% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% ( | 15.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.99% ( | 45% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( | 33.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( | 70% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 5-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 54.82% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.42% |