Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.