Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.56% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%) , while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.