Welsh Premier League
Dec 31, 2025 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rhys Hughes 9' goal
  • Noah Edwards 37' yellowcard
  • Max Woodcock 41' goal
  • Max Woodcock 42' yellowcard
  • Callum West 80' goal
  • 89' yellowcard
  • Kit Margetson 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 12'
  • yellowcard Daniel Williams 12'
  • goal Jordan Williams 55'
  • yellowcard 86'
  • yellowcard Ryan Brobbel 86'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 2.30pm
Flint Town 0 - 2 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Harry Franklin

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 2.30pm
New Saints 0 - 0 Bala Town
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jordan Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads has a probability of 26.5% and a draw has a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-0 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.37%).

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 26.5% (+0.18)
Draw 24.12% (+0.08)
The New Saints 49.37% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.04% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.18% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 45.83% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 31.86% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 68.14% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 15.98% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 84.02% (+0.14)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 68.87% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.13% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.54% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 67.46% (-0.04)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 81.37% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 18.63% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 50.07% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 49.94% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 26.5%
Draw 24.12%
The New Saints 49.37%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 6.77% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 6.64% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 3.95% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 26.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.8% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.12%
The New Saints
0-1 @ 9.75% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.37%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Ryan Brobbel 27' goal
  • Rory Holden 32' yellowcard
  • Jordan Williams 37' goal
  • Jordan Williams 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 23'
  • goal Noah Edwards 31'
  • redcard Jack Kenny 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 61'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Noah Edwards 15' yellowcard
  • Jack Kenny 54' goal
  • goal Declan McManus 86'
  • goal Ben Clark 87'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 88' goal
  • Kai Edwards 90' goal
  • yellowcard John Disney 59'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 60'
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Edwards 73'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 4
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Jack Kenny 46' goal
  • Noah Edwards 72' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Daniels 4'
  • goal Ben Clark 20'
  • goal Daniel Davies 36'
  • goal Jordan Williams 42'
  • goal Declan McManus 85'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • John Disney 88' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Pask 7'
  • goal Ryan Brobbel 22'
  • goal Brad Young 28'
  • goal Brad Young 56'
  • yellowcard Chris Marriott 88'