Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flint Town 0-2 Connah's Quay
Friday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Briton Ferry 0-2 New Saints
Friday, December 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads has a probability of 26.33% and a draw has a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-0 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.33%).

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
26.33% (-0.184 -0.18)24.05% (0.071999999999999 0.07)49.62% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-0.412 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.47 -0.47)45.63% (0.466 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.449 -0.45)67.96% (0.446 0.45)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)31.16% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-0.459 -0.46)67.5% (0.456 0.46)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-0.139 -0.14)18.46% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (-0.231 -0.23)49.65% (0.228 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 26.33%
    The New Saints 49.62%
    Draw 24.05%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.062 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.33%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.63% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.62%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
Dec 31, 2024 2.30pm
gameweek 21
New Saints
2-1
Connah's Quay
Brobbel (27'), Williams (37')
Holden (32'), Williams (45+3')
Edwards (31')
Edwards (23'), Nash (61')
Kenny (45+2')
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
1-2
New Saints
Kenny (54')
Edwards (15')
McManus (86'), Clark (87')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
gameweek 10
New Saints
2-0
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (88'), Edwards (90' og.)

Disney (59'), Nash (60'), Edwards (70'), Edwards (73')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
1-5
New Saints
Kenny (46')
Edwards (72')
Daniels (4'), Clark (20'), Davies (36'), Williams (42'), McManus (85')