Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.