Welsh Premier League

Dec 27, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Caernarfon Caernarfon Town
1-2
Colwyn Bay

Bradley (68' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Peate (15'), Cumming (64')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Next Game: Bala Town vs. Caernarfon
Wednesday, December 31 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colwyn Bay

All competitions

Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Next Game: Colwyn Bay vs. Flint Town
Thursday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Colwyn Bay
42.45% ( 0.21)	23.75% ( 0.04)	33.81% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 61.75% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.77% (

-0.25)

40.23% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.4% (

-0.26)

62.61% (

0.27)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.02)

19.26% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01% (

-0.03)

50.99% (

0.03)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

-0.25)

23.52% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

-0.37)

57.56% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 42.45%

Colwyn Bay 33.81%

Draw 23.74%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Colwyn Bay
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 42.45%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.81%