Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 27, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
 

CaernarfonCaernarfon Town
vs.
Colwyn Bay

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-1 Flint Town
Friday, December 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Friday, December 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Colwyn Bay has a probability of 34.05% and a draw has a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win is 1-2 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.75%).

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawColwyn Bay
42.24% (0.064999999999998 0.06)23.71% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)34.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.97% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02% (0.068999999999996 0.07)39.97% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.66% (0.073999999999998 0.07)62.34% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (0.059000000000012 0.06)19.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.04% (0.096000000000004 0.1)50.95% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (0.0049999999999955 0)23.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82% (0.007000000000005 0.01)57.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 42.24%
    Colwyn Bay 34.05%
    Draw 23.7%
Caernarfon TownDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.05%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2025 5.15pm
Colwyn Bay
1-0
Caernarfon
Dec 31, 2023 12.30pm
gameweek 21
Caernarfon
2-1
Colwyn Bay
Williams (61'), Clarke (73')
Gosset (39')
McCready (81')
McCready (33')
Aug 13, 2023 5.15pm
gameweek 1
Colwyn Bay
0-4
Caernarfon

Sirrell (29')
Thomas (36'), Davies (61', 71'), Clarke (66')
Gosset (7'), Donohue (32'), Thomas (39'), Mooney (45+2'), Bradley (57'), Lloyd (89'), Lloyd (89')