Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gyori ETO win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gyori ETO win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.16%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Osijek win was 2-1 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.