Major League Soccer

Sep 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
3 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kamara (21', 29'), Brault-Guillard (44')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Shaqiri (39' pen., 57' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	New England Revolution	30	-1	38
6	Chicago Fire	30	-8	35
7	Toronto	31	-8	34

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Chicago Fire
61.21% ( 0.27)	21.07% ( -0.12)	17.71% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 53.9% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.21% (

0.26)

42.79% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.8% (

0.25)

65.19% (

-0.26)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.51% (

0.16)

13.49% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.48% (

0.33)

40.51% (

-0.33)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.31% (

-0.03)

37.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.53% (

-0.03)

74.46% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 61.21%

Chicago Fire 17.71%

Draw 21.07%

CF Montreal	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 61.21%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.07%	0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.71%