| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 42 | 60 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 29 | 10 | 52 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 29 | 0 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 53.73% ( | 23.4% ( | 22.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( | 45.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( | 68.29% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( | 17.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( | 47.2% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% ( | 34.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.04% ( | 70.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 5-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 22.87% |