Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT The Oval

Phil Mooney 25'
Rio Owen 58'
Rio Owen 59'
Connor Salisbury 75'
Phil Mooney 80'
Phil Mooney 81'

Callum Bratley 2'
James Jones 28'
James Jones 29'
Rhys Hughes 59'
Max Woodcock 85'
Freddie Redshaw 85'

Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
D
L
D
D

Welsh Premier League

W
L
D
L
D
D

Last game

Dec 31, 2025 12.30pm

Bala Town 0 - 1 Caernarfon

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Phil Mooney

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Jan 3, 2026 2.30pm

Connah's Quay 3 - 1 Barry

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

Harry Franklin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 30.97%

Draw 21.89%

Connah's Quay Nomads 47.14%

Both Teams to Score:

59.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.82%

Under 1.5 18.18%

Over 2.5 61.27%

Under 2.5 38.73%

Over 3.5 38.06%

Under 3.5 61.94%

Over 4.5 23.17%

Under 4.5 76.83%

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 28.96%

Draw 34.08%

Connah's Quay Nomads 36.96%

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 42.41%

No Goal 4.43%

Connah's Quay Nomads 53.16%

Corners

Over 8 58.34%

Equal 8 10.71%

Under 8 30.94%

Over 9 47.37%

Equal 9 10.97%

Under 9 41.66%

Over 10.5 37%

Under 10.5 63%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 36.7%

Under 1.5 63.3%

Over 2.5 15.33%

Under 2.5 84.67%

Over 3.5 5.38%

Under 3.5 94.62%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 77.58%

Under 0.5 22.42%

Over 1.5 50.21%

Under 1.5 49.79%

Over 2.5 24.79%

Under 2.5 75.21%

Over 3.5 10.3%

Under 3.5 89.7%

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 30.98%

Draw 21.89%

Connah's Quay Nomads 47.14%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 7.03%

1-0 @ 6.05%

2-0 @ 4.67%

3-1 @ 3.42%

3-2 @ 2.53%

3-0 @ 2.23%

Other @ 5.05%

Total : 30.98%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.21%

2-2 @ 6.15%

0-0 @ 4.43%

3-3 @ 1.77%

Other @ 0.33%

Total : 21.89%

Connah's Quay Nomads

1-2 @ 10.08%

0-1 @ 7.71%

0-2 @ 6.66%

1-3 @ 5.32%

0-3 @ 3.88%

2-3 @ 3.52%

Other @ 9.97%

Total : 47.14%

Head to Head

Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Rhys Hughes 34'
Chris Marriott 69'
Ben Nash 71'
Noah Edwards 82'

Paulo Mendes 15'
Adam Davies 61'
Ryan Sears 65'
Phil Mooney 83'
Phil Mooney 88'

Sep 28, 2024 5.15pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT The Oval

Paulo Mendes 18'
Darren Thomas 28'
Darren Thomas 45'+1'
Zack Clarke 56'
Ryan Sears 85'
Joe Faux 90'+7'

Chris Marriott 38'
John Disney 83'

Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Dion Donohue 15'
Louis Lloyd 53'
Marc Williams 58'
Marc Williams 90'+4'

Dan Roberts 65'
Jordan Davies 90'+6'

Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Deeside College Stadium

Michael Wilde 59'
Callum Bratley 70'
Ryan Harrington 75'
Callum Morris 90'+4'

Adam Davies 22'
Marc Williams 89'

Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm

6

1

HT : 5 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Harry Franklin 2'
Harry Franklin 6'
Harry Franklin 11'
Jack Kenny 20'
Harry Franklin 45'+2'
Jack Kenny 45'+8'
Josh Williams 73'

Marc Williams 14'
Ben Maher 54'
Louis Lloyd 79'
Louis Lloyd 90'

Form Data

Bala Town 0 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Colwyn Bay

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Flint Town

New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon

Llanelli 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Haverfordwest

Connah's Quay 3 - 1 Barry

Connah's Quay 3 - 1 New Saints

Flint Town 0 - 2 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 4 - 2 Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay 2 - 1 Colwyn Bay

Llanelli 1 - 2 Connah's Quay