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Welsh Premier League
Dec 31, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
 

Bala TownBala Town
vs.
CaernarfonCaernarfon Town

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 0-2 Haverfordwest
Friday, December 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bala Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 35.79% and a draw has a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 1-2 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
39.63% (-0.166 -0.17)24.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)35.79% (0.21 0.21)
Both teams to score 59.18% (0.178 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.23% (0.22 0.22)43.77% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.84% (0.213 0.21)66.16% (-0.21000000000001 -0.21)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.41% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.21799999999999 0.22)24.06% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (0.307 0.31)58.33% (-0.303 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 39.63%
    Caernarfon Town 35.79%
    Draw 24.57%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.63%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 35.79%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2025 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Bala Town
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Caernarfon
5-0
Bala Town
Downey (33', 57'), Lloyd (50', 63', 74')

Peate (45+1')
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Bala Town
1-3
Caernarfon
Robles (80')
Edwards (22'), Abadaki (45+1'), Burke (48'), Nalatche Mendes (54')
Lock (6', 90+3'), Davies (14')
Davies (45+1'), Mendes (56')
Jan 11, 2025 12.45pm
gameweek 21
Bala Town
0-2
Caernarfon

Lloyd (28'), Newell (41'), Harrison (87')
Owen (43'), Davies (90')
Sears (48')
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Caernarfon
0-0
Bala Town
Davies (16'), Mooney (42'), Downey (81'), John Williams (86'), Williams (90')
Kargbo (81'), Robles (88')