Welsh Premier League
Dec 31, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Danny Gosset 43'
  • yellowcard J. Lock 54'
  • yellowcard Joshua Lock 54'

Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 2.30pm
New Saints 0 - 0 Bala Town
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Cameron Ferguson

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 2.30pm
Caernarfon 1 - 2 Colwyn Bay
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Phil Mooney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bala Town win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 35.47% and a draw has a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.46%).

Result

Bala Town 39.91% (+0.28)
Draw 24.62% (+0.05)
Caernarfon Town 35.47% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.99% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 44.02% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 33.6% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 66.4% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 17.23% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 82.77% (+0.18)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.97% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.04% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.64% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 55.37% (-0.05)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.65% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 24.35% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 41.26% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 58.75% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Bala Town 39.91%
Draw 24.62%
Caernarfon Town 35.47%
Bala Town
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.12% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.14% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.37% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.09% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.37% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.62%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.58% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.47%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Aug 25, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • Sam Downey 33' goal
  • Louis Lloyd 50' goal
  • Sam Downey 57' goal
  • Louis Lloyd 63' goal
  • Louis Lloyd 74' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Peate 45'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Maes Tegid
  • Aeron Edwards 22' yellowcard
  • Osebi Abadaki 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Nathan Burke 48' yellowcard
  • Lassana Nalatche Mendes 54' yellowcard
  • Louis Robles 80' goal
  • goal Joshua Lock 6'
  • goal Adam Davies 14'
  • yellowcard Adam Davies 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Paulo Mendes 56'
  • goal Joshua Lock 90'+3'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2025 12.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Maes Tegid
  • Kieran Lloyd 28' yellowcard
  • George Newell 41' yellowcard
  • Kyle Harrison 87' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Owen 43'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sears 48'
  • goal Adam Davies 90'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Adam Davies 16' yellowcard
  • Phil Mooney 42' yellowcard
  • Sam Downey 81' yellowcard
  • Gruff John Williams 86' yellowcard
  • Marc Williams 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Uniss Kargbo 81'
  • yellowcard Louis Robles 88'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Oval
  • Iwan Cartwright 26' yellowcard
  • Zack Clarke 34' goal
  • Louis Lloyd 68' goal
  • yellowcard Kieran Smith 27'
  • yellowcard Naim Arsan 36'
  • goal Naim Arsan 41'
  • yellowcard Kelland Absalom 44'
  • redcard Kelland Absalom 47'
  • goal Nathan Peate 52'