Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 46.41% ( | 25.6% ( | 27.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( | 51.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( | 72.91% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( | 21.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.71% ( | 55.29% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( | 32.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( | 69.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.99% |