Major League Soccer

Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
2 - 3
Saint Louis City

Driussi (45+4'), Gallagher (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Parker (24'), Stroud (78'), Klauss (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Saint Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 81.02%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Saint Louis City had a probability of 7.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Saint Louis City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Saint Louis City
81.02% ( 0.03)	11.74% ( -0.02)	7.24% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.3% (

0.05)

24.7% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.47% (

0.07)

44.52% (

-0.07)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.39% (

0.01)

4.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.2% (

0.04)

18.79% (

-0.05)

Saint Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.81% (

42.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.4% (

78.6% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 81.02%

Saint Louis City 7.24%

Draw 11.74%

Austin FC	Draw	Saint Louis City
3-0 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 5.27% Total : 81.02%	1-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 11.74%	1-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 7.24%