Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
| 68.89% ( | 17.69% | 13.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.31% ( | 35.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.24% ( | 57.75% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.6% ( | 9.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.39% | 31.61% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( | 38.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( | 75.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 8.03% ( 3-1 @ 7.61% 4-0 @ 4.75% 4-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.6% 5-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 2.13% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.43% Total : 68.88% | 1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0-0 @ 3.64% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.69% | 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0-1 @ 3.45% 0-2 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.42% |