Austin FC
MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Austin FC Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Austin
2 - 2
Salt Lake

Driussi (31', 90+4' pen.)
FT
(aet)
Cordova (3', 15' pen.)
Austin win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Colorado
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Portland
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.19%).

Result
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
60.12% (1.554 1.55)20.71% (-0.581 -0.58)19.16% (-0.974 -0.97)
Both teams to score 57.96% (0.34500000000001 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (1.242 1.24)38.76% (-1.243 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (1.297 1.3)61.07% (-1.298 -1.3)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.84999999999999 0.85)12.54% (-0.851 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.42% (1.739 1.74)38.57% (-1.739 -1.74)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (-0.252 -0.25)33.72% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-0.277 -0.28)70.38% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 60.12%
    Real Salt Lake 19.16%
    Draw 20.71%
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.212 0.21)
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.237 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.56% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 3.28% (0.222 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.107 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.134 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.16%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
TBC
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 2.15am
Austin
3-0
Salt Lake
Djitte (60', 76', 80')
May 15, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-1
Austin
Chang (55'), Brody (88')
Silva (63'), Caldwell (90+2')
Ring (24')
Driussi (38'), Jimenez (45+2'), Urruti (65'), Valencia (78')
Pereira (47')
Oct 2, 2021 8.30pm
Austin
2-1
Salt Lake
Dominguez (17', 55')
Pereira (90+2')
Kreilach (64')
Aug 15, 2021 3am
Salt Lake
1-0
Austin
Wood (32')
Morgan (68')

Ring (44')
Cascante (49')