Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.