Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 10pm UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
We said: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake have struggled in recent matches, and so we do not think they will be able to turn this form around in the last game of the season.
Portland Timbers are in decent form, and should be good enough to get the vital point needed to secure a place in the playoffs, in what will be a cagey affair.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.41% . A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.72% .
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.34%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.92%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result Real Salt Lake Draw Portland Timbers 55.41% ( 0.02) 22.87% ( -0) 21.72% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.7% ( 0.01)
54.98% ( 0.02) 45.02% ( -0.01)
32.63% ( 0.01) 67.37% ( -0.01)
83.89% ( 0.01) 16.11% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.49% ( 0.02) 45.51% ( -0.02)
65.2% ( 0) 34.8%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.47% 71.53% ( 0)
Real Salt Lake 55.41%
Portland Timbers 21.72%
Draw 22.87%
Real Salt Lake Draw Portland Timbers 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.41% 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.87% 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.72%
How you voted: Salt Lake vs Portland
Real Salt Lake
Draw
Portland Timbers
12
rhs 2.0
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