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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 10pm UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Portland Timbers

Salt Lake
3 - 1
Portland

Savarino (19'), Rubin (48'), Davis (82')
Rubin (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Asprilla (87')
Ayala (27'), Blanco (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 2 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Portland Timbers

Real Salt Lake have struggled in recent matches, and so we do not think they will be able to turn this form around in the last game of the season. Portland Timbers are in decent form, and should be good enough to get the vital point needed to secure a place in the playoffs, in what will be a cagey affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawPortland Timbers
55.41% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 22.87% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 21.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)45.02% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (0.012999999999998 0.01)67.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (0.010000000000005 0.01)16.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)45.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47%71.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 55.41%
    Portland Timbers 21.72%
    Draw 22.87%
Real Salt LakeDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.34%
3-1 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 55.41%
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 21.72%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Portland

Real Salt Lake
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Portland Timbers
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 3am
Dec 4, 2021 11.30pm
Portland
2-0
Salt Lake
Mora (5'), Moreno (61')
Moreno (61')

Herrera (58'), Ruiz (90+3')
Herrera (79')
Nov 4, 2021 2.30am
Salt Lake
1-3
Portland
Rusnak (88' pen.)
Ruiz (36')
Blanco (17', 45'), Herrera (38' og.)
Tuiloma (82'), Bravo (87')
Sep 26, 2021 3.30am
Portland
6-1
Salt Lake
Mora (27'), Asprilla (36'), Chara (48'), Chara (68'), Niezgoda (85'), Paredes (88')
Chara (45+4')
Kreilach (41')
Ruiz (51'), Glad (73')
Aug 8, 2021 3.30am
Portland
3-2
Salt Lake
Asprilla (10' pen.), Chara (29'), Mora (62')
Valeri (89')
Rusnak (40'), Kreilach (80')
Glad (6'), Menendez (13'), Luiz (45+1'), Herrera (48'), Chang (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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