Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.